Past & Present Done. Now...The Future
A quick look at the market history to know where prices go in the future
Yo, Coin Collectors!
You’ve opened the Hodl Report, where the insights are bold, the jokes are cold, and the market’s heating up! 🥶🔥
In this issue:
Market sentiment and outlook 🌎
Where prices are heading 🚀
Important news from the week 📰
Funny crypto stuff 🤣
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Another week, another ATH.
Can we just take a moment to appreciate how good it feels to be a Bitcoin holder right now? 🥲
All-time highs are popping up like popcorn, and we’re out here living our best life. But the question is: How did we get here, and where do we go next?
Let’s take a quick trip through the current cycle to figure it out.
The Past: Laying the Groundwork for Liftoff 🛫
The signs were flashing brighter than a "Buy Bitcoin" billboard in Times Square, and here’s what set the stage:
ETFs Opened the Floodgates: Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs handed Wall Street and everyday investors a fast pass to the crypto party.
Interest Rates & Liquidity: Interest rate cuts, easing inflation, and rising liquidity gave the market the fuel it needed to ignite.
Bullish Indicators: From stablecoin supply to exchange balances dropping and mining hashrates climbing, the signals were pointing one way - up.
We called it for many months that the bull market was heating up, and now it’s official - the bull market is here. 🎉
The Present: Bull Market Confirmed 🐂
1) Record-Breaking Demand
This week alone, net inflows into Bitcoin ETFs surpassed $2 billion from Monday to Thursday
To put it another way: ETFs gobbled up over 27,000 Bitcoin in four days, while the daily supply trickling into the market is just 450 freshly minted BTC.
The math here isn’t hard:
HUGE demand + Scarce supply = 🚀
2) Trump Optimism
Trump’s election win has flipped the crypto sentiment switch to “extreme optimism.” His campaign promises include:
Creating a pro-crypto administration with less regulation (bye-bye, Gensler 👋)
Making the U.S. a global crypto hub and a push to ensure Bitcoin is “Made in the USA”
Establishing a Bitcoin strategic reserve in the U.S. Treasury
3) MicroStrategy Still All-In
MicroStrategy converted their treasury plan to basically:
Buy Bitcoin
Raise money
Buy more Bitcoin
Raise more money
Repeat forever
This week, they doubled down again, spending $2 billion to stack sats like it’s going out of style.
4) Bull Market Still Heating Up
Every indicator is screaming go:
Google Searches for Bitcoin are climbing fast.
The Coinbase App has climbed to the number 1 spot in Finance Apps
Traditional Finance is yelling "BUY" louder than Jim Cramer on a Monday morning. Even Bernstein is urging investors to allocate heavily into crypto.
So where do we go next? 🤔
The Future: Big Moves Ahead 🚀
The stars have aligned, the groundwork has been laid, and the signals are clear - we’re in a bull market that’s just getting started.
So, what’s left to keep the momentum going and push Bitcoin’s price even higher?
Let’s break it down:
Big Money Is Just Warming Up 💼
Hedge funds and pension funds are circling Bitcoin like it’s the next big IPO. These massive institutions are only starting to allocate to crypto, and once they’re in, it’s game on. A trickle of their capital can turn into a flood - and with Bitcoin’s tiny supply, that’s a recipe for major price moves.
Nation-States Enter the Market 🌎
El Salvador and Bhutan have already made Bitcoin part of their treasury strategy, and rumor has it that more countries are quietly watching (and maybe buying). With only 1.5 million left to mine, it won’t take much demand from nation-states to make Bitcoin’s supply crunch very real.
VanEck’s Bold Call: $180K BTC by the End of the Cycle 💰
VanEck isn’t mincing words with their prediction: Bitcoin could hit $180,000 before this bull cycle wraps up. Considering the trifecta of institutional adoption, nation-state interest, and a fixed supply, that doesn’t sound so far-fetched.
Sports Analogies, Because Why Not? ⚾🏀
If this bull market were a baseball game, we say we’re in inning 4 out of 9. The first inning started just before the ETF approvals, and we’re now cruising with plenty of action still to come. Others, like Cameron Winklevoss, think we’re just at the coin toss.
And for you basketball fans, Scottie Pippen pipes up again and says, “Bitcoin’s still got its best moves left.”
Mic drop.
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Hodl Headlines
The Week’s Most Interesting News
FBI Raids Polymarket CEO's Apartment: Federal agents searched Shayne Coplan's Manhattan residence, confiscating his phone and other devices amid an investigation into Polymarket's operations. The platform is under scrutiny for potentially allowing U.S. users to place bets, possibly violating previous agreements.
Institutional Investors to Increase Crypto Allocation: A recent survey by Sygnum indicates that 57% of institutional investors intend to boost their cryptocurrency holdings. This trend underscores growing confidence in digital assets among major financial players.
Pennsylvania Proposes Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Bill: State Rep. Mike Cabell introduced a bill to allow Pennsylvania to invest up to 10% of its treasury funds in Bitcoin. The legislation aims to hedge against inflation and follow the trend of institutional Bitcoin adoption.
Canada Halts Digital Loonie Over Privacy Concerns: The Bank of Canada has paused its digital currency project, citing unresolved privacy issues. Officials emphasize the need to address these concerns before proceeding with a central bank digital currency.
High-Risk DeFi Loans Surge Amid Crypto Rally: Decentralized finance platforms have seen a significant increase in high-risk loans, coinciding with a crypto market rally following the U.S. election. Investors are leveraging these platforms to capitalize on market volatility.
Coinbase Launches Wrapped Bitcoin on Solana: Coinbase has introduced Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) on the Solana blockchain, aiming to enhance liquidity and provide users with more options for decentralized finance applications.
Solana-Based Reflect Wins 'Radar' Hackathon: Reflect, a delta-neutral currency protocol built on Solana, emerged victorious in the 'Radar' hackathon. The project offers tokens that accrue yield without relying on traditional banking systems.
Coinbase App Climbs to Top 10 in U.S. Apple App Store: Coinbase's mobile application has entered the top 10 rankings in the U.S. Apple App Store, securing the number one spot in the finance category. This surge reflects growing consumer interest in cryptocurrency trading.
Novogratz Predicts Bitcoin Could Reach $500K: Mike Novogratz suggested in an interview with Bloomberg, that Bitcoin's price might soar to $500,000 if major governments adopt it as a strategic reserve asset. He emphasized the transformative impact such adoption would have on the cryptocurrency market.
Big thanks for making it to the end of this week’s Hodl Report! 👊
If you enjoyed the ride, had a good laugh or learned a thing or two, feel free to share the love! Just copy/paste this link over to anyone:
The more, the merrier - because who doesn’t love a bigger party? 🥳
Happy Friday!
Disclaimer: The content from Hodl Report should not be taken as trading, investment or financial advice or solicitation to buy or sell any assets. This newsletter is for informational and educational purposes only. Please be careful out there and DYOR (do your own research).