Dips, Memes, and AI Dreams: Our Crypto Game Plan

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Ho, Ho Hodlers!

Greetings on the eve of Christmas. 🎅

Last week, the total crypto market cap was living its best life at $3.77 trillion.

Fast forward seven days, and we’re sitting at $3.33 trillion. That’s a $440 billion drop in one week, folks.

Enough to make even the most stoic HODLer take up knitting for stress relief. 🧶

As is tradition during pullbacks, Bitcoin played the role of the responsible adult, pulling money away from altcoins to bolster its dominance, while giving altcoins a double whammy.

It's like everyone suddenly remembered Bitcoin is the OG crypto.

The catalyst for this market shake-up?

The Federal Reserve's recent announcement, which spooked both crypto and stock markets into a synchronized dip.

But good news: the initial panic seems to be fading, and the optimism we all know and love is making a quiet comeback.

Here’s our revised take on things:

Short-Term (Next 30 Days)

Remember when we said Bitcoin could hit $110k by the end of the year?

Well, with an all-time high of $108k, we're calling that a win.

We also anticipated a 10-20% pullback, it just arrived unfashionably early.

Looking ahead, we expect the market to regain its composure and continue its upward journey, albeit at a more cautious pace and a few ups and downs along the way. No more new all time highs just yet. That is, until a certain someone takes office and crypto finds itself back in the good graces of the media, sparking some faster upward momentum.

Mid-Term (1 Year)

Our mid-term outlook hasn’t changed.

We’re still eyeing a cyclical market top somewhere between October and December 2025.

We'll be ready to exit most of our trades then, and may head to the moon in our lambo. 🚀

Long-Term

Crypto adoption is growing faster than we anticipated, which is fantastic news for the long game. We’ll dive deeper into this trend in future issues, but spoiler: the future looks bright.

Now’s the perfect moment to rebalance your portfolio for the months ahead.

Think of it as spring cleaning, but for your digital assets. A little preparation now can set you up nicely for what’s to come.

Here’s our plan. 👇

As we jingle all the way toward year-end, it's time to reshuffle the portfolio to stay ahead of the trends.

The spotlight is still shining brightly on memecoins, but there’s a new contender capturing some mindshare: AI and AI agents.

With that in mind, here’s what we’re doing to keep things merry and profitable.

• Parting with Render: Render has done well for us, but its future growth looks slower compared to other options. We’re aiming to exit at $8.

• Selling Our Sol: After Friday’s newsletter, we decided to part with some Solana to free up funds for riskier trades. Gotta keep things exciting, right?

• Entering Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL): As AI and AI agent narratives heat up, we’re looking to invest in infrastructure plays. Virtuals Protocol fits the bill, and we’re targeting an entry price under $2.80.

And…

You know we couldn’t resist the memecoin madness, especially since we set ourselves the challenge of 10x’ing the portfolio in 10 months.

Here's the method to our madness (if you can call it that):

1. Market Cap:
   Blue chips sit in the tens of billions, mid-tier coins hit the hundreds of millions, and speculative plays hover in the tens of millions. Anything below that? Might as well grab a lottery ticket.

2. Community:
   The number of holders gives us an idea of a coin’s reach. When the price moves, those holders often jump back in, adding fuel to the fire.

3. Charts:
   Charts don’t tell us everything (or much, really), but they’re handy for spotting support levels and potential entry points.

What We’re Buying:

• Tema (TEMA):

  • Current Price: $0.04

  • Market Cap: $40 million

  • Holders: 9,897
    Tema is the raccoon-themed token with a huge TikTok/YouTube/Instagram following. The community is active, exchange listings are on the horizon, and there are already scammers impersonating them - a strangely bullish signal in memecoin land. We bought in on the weekend at $0.025.

• Just a Chill Guy (CHILL):

  • Current Price: $0.19

  • Market Cap: $190 million

  • Holders: 145,707
    This token rides the wave of the viral “Chill Guy” meme. It’s high risk (because memecoins), but after a 50% crash from its high two weeks ago, we doubled down at $0.17 on the weekend. Call us degenerates, but sometimes you’ve got to go big or go home.

We’re leaning into the chaos of memecoins while keeping an eye on AI as a longer-term play.

Here’s hoping Santa stuffs our stockings with green candles this Christmas. 

Merry Christmas, Hodlers! 🎄

And may your bags be full of pumps and not lumps of coal.

• Current Portfolio with real-time values and holdings.

• Complete List of Trades.

• Curious about our 10-10-10 challenge? Visit our Challenge Page for the details

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Disclaimer: The content from Hodl Report should not be taken as trading, investment or financial advice or solicitation to buy or sell any assets. This newsletter is for informational and educational purposes only. Please be careful out there and DYOR (do your own research).