Trading Challenge Recap: We Beat Bitcoin But...

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Hey there, Hodlers!

Well, look who made it to the end of our 10-month trading challenge.

Spoiler: we didn’t 10x.

But we did outperform Bitcoin during a cycle that’s been nothing but Bitcoin, Bitcoin, and… yep, more Bitcoin.

📊 Final Score:
+145% return (2.5x) for us.
+119% return (2.2x) if we had just aped into Bitcoin.
So yeah… W for the degens (but just barely!).

Considering this cycle skipped the usual altseason shenanigans (so far), we’ll take the win.

🥲 Lesson learned?
Next time, we’re keeping the targets a little more grounded. We were banking on a standard 4-year cycle, with altseason kicking in months ago. But as we’ve been screaming from the rooftops lately: this cycle’s running long. Our bet? The real top hits Q1/Q2 of 2026.

🎯 What’s next?
We’ll be launching a new challenge in August: revamped, recalibrated, and ready to dominate. Armed with data, experience, and more snark than ever.

In the meantime, we’re going Euro-mode and enjoying some summer hours. Fewer emails, more sunshine. But we’re still sending out the Friday Recap every week, and if anything urgent drops, we’ll be in your inbox like an emergency Fed meeting.

🎁 Oh, and Pro fam - you’ve been credited 2 extra months for riding with us.

We appreciate you.

In the meantime, let’s recap our short-term outlook.👇

You already know the coins we like.
You know the thesis.
You know where we think they’re heading by the end of this cycle.

But let’s zoom in for a second…

While we’re out touching grass and pretending to be European for a few weeks, let’s talk about what’s cooking in the macro pot over the next few week… specifically, the Trump & Powell drama and how it’s setting the stage for crypto’s next big leg up:

1. U.S. Debt Crisis Escalates
   BBB bill was passed and debt ceiling raised to $41.1T. Interest payments skyrocketing toward $2T/year. Trump wants to slash rates to refinance and avoid disaster.

2. Trump Demands Massive Rate Cuts
   Calling for a 300+ bps cut despite no recession. Wants to ease U.S. debt pressure (definitely) and to pump crypto bags (probably).

3. Powell Pushes Back
   Aggressive cuts could spark inflation and rising long-term rates; may force the Fed to buy its own debt (aka stealth money printing).

4. Powell Under Fire
   Trump wants him gone early - floating a 2025 replacement to minimize Powell present power (lame duck). Pressure mounts as rumors of Powell’s resignation circulate.

Conclusion: Trump wants the printer, Powell’s boxed in, and crypto’s locked, loaded, and ready to rip.

Now what?

Bitcoin had a beautiful breakout into price discovery, printing new ATHs…

Then Trump opened his mouth about tariffs again, and markets got a little jumpy.

So far, no massive crash, maybe the market is learning.

Or maybe we’re in the eye of the storm and don’t know it yet.

Either way, Bitcoin is cooling off, finding support, and meanwhile…

Some alts are flexing.

Let’s talk moves 👇

Bitcoin & Ethereum

Right now, the market’s building pressure like a volcano and it hasn’t priced in the full storm yet.

✅ Stablecoins pouring in = fresh ammo for the next leg.

✅ Corporate treasury buying is relentless for both Bitcoin and Ethereum.

✅ Only 450 BTC mined daily and ETH staked supply just hit 29.39%.

✅ TradFi adoption and legislation are paving the road for the next euphoric pump.

✅ If spot ETF staking gets approved? Say goodbye to $3K ETH. Hello, face-melter.

Sui

We’ve been screaming about this one for months, and it’s showing serious strength even while BTC consolidates. Long-term beast. Price action confirms it.

Some other alts are flexing too, but let’s be honest, the risk/reward on a few of them is already looking like a bad Tinder date.

So for now, we’re sticking with the top-tier hitters while we sip cocktails and pretend not to check charts.

Come August though?

Full degen mode resumes.

We’ll be back calling out trades on coins you’ve never heard of, with names that sound like prescription meds and market caps smaller than your coffee budget.

See you in August!

Stay sharp, stack sats, and go touch some grass. 🌿

• Curious about our 10-10-10 challenge? Visit our Challenge Page for the details.

• Trading Portfolio with real-time values, holdings and complete trading history.

• What if we had just bought Bitcoin instead? Bitcoin Only Portfolio.

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Happy Trading!

Disclaimer: The content from Hodl Report should not be taken as trading, investment or financial advice or solicitation to buy or sell any assets. This newsletter is for informational and educational purposes only. Please be careful out there and DYOR (do your own research).